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Earth Surface Dynamics An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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ESurf | Articles | Volume 7, issue 1
Earth Surf. Dynam., 7, 301–320, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-7-301-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Earth Surf. Dynam., 7, 301–320, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-7-301-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 18 Mar 2019

Research article | 18 Mar 2019

Development of proglacial lakes and evaluation of related outburst susceptibility at the Adygine ice-debris complex, northern Tien Shan

Kristyna Falatkova et al.
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Cited articles  
Aizen, V. B., Aizen, E. M., and Melack, J. M.: Precipitation, melt and runoff in the northern Tien Shan, J. Hydrol., 186, 229–251, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1694(96)03022-3, 1996. 
Aizen, V. B., Kuzmichenok, V. A., Surazakov, A. B., and Aizen, E. M.: Glacier changes in the central and northern Tien Shan during the last 140 years based on surface and remote-sensing data, Ann. Glaciol., 43, 202–213, https://doi.org/10.3189/172756406781812465, 2006. 
Aizen, V. B., Kuzmichenok, V. A., Surazakov, A. B., and Aizen, E. M.: Glacier changes in the Tien Shan as determined from topographic and remotely sensed data, Global Planet. Change, 56, 328–340, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2006.07.016, 2007a. 
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Short summary
In the last 50 years the Adygine glacier has been subject to relatively fast recession comparable to other glaciers in Tien Shan. As a consequence, a three-level cascade of glacial lakes formed, two of which were categorised as having medium outburst susceptibility. By 2050, the glacier is expected to have shrunk to 56–73 % of its 2012 extent. Further development of the site will result in formation of new lakes and probably also increase of outburst susceptibility due to permafrost degradation.
In the last 50 years the Adygine glacier has been subject to relatively fast recession...
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